Event class: election, seat, re-elected, general election, votes, defeated, majority, lost, vote, government

Events with high posterior probability

Tony Ianno	In the 2004 election, Ianno again faced councillor Chow and managed to win re-election by a slim margin, as the Liberals were reduced to a minority government due to the Sponsorship Scandal.
Margaret Konantz	When the minority government of John Diefenbaker fell the following year, however, Konantz defeated Chown in the 1963 election.
Jerry Storie	Storie was re-elected by a substantial majority in the 1986 provincial election.
Albert Ernest Hillary	However in the 1924, with the Liberals in national decline and with the intervention of a Labour candidate, Rice won the seat from Hillary by a majority of 2,315 with Labour losing their deposit.
James Moore (Canadian politician)	Moore was easily re-elected in the 2008 federal election and the Conservative Party won their second minority government.
Darrell Dexter	His government was defeated in the 2013 election, becoming the first Nova Scotia government in 131 years to be denied a second mandate ; Dexter himself was defeated in his constituency by 21 votes.
Wallace C. Miller	Miller was re-elected in the 1959 provincial election, defeating Progressive Conservative Leo Reckseidler by the reduced margin of 186 votes.
Cyril Lloyd Francis	The Liberal government was defeated in the 1984 election, and Francis lost his seat.
Leo Bernier	He was returned by an increased margin in the 1967 provincial election, and served as a backbench supporter of the John Robarts administration.
Karlene Maywald	Winning an increased majority at the 2002 state election on a 14 percent two-candidate preferred margin, Maywald voted for a Kerin Liberal government over a Rann Labor Government and later voted against the state government's industrial relations package.
Reginald John Marsden Parker	He was re-elected in the 1934 provincial election in which the Liberals took power.
Doug Griffiths	Griffiths received 79 per cent of the vote in Battle River-Wainwright during the 2008 provincial election, sending him to the Legislature for his third term.
Rhodri Glyn Thomas	He was reelected in 2007 with an increased majority of over 8,000 making it the Assembly's second safest seat.
Shelley Martel	Despite her colourful career in cabinet and the general decline of the NDP, Martel was re-elected in Sudbury East in the 1995 provincial election, defeating Liberal opponent Paul Menard.
Paias Wingti	In 1987 Wingti returned to power with a slender majority of three votes.
Alvin Curling	The Liberals were defeated by the NDP in the 1990 election, although Curling managed to retain his riding by about 4,000 votes.
Jim Ernst	The provincial Liberals had slipped in popularity by the provincial election of 1990, and Ernst was returned in Charleswood without any difficulty.
Neil Batt	He was re-elected for Denison at the 1979 state election, but the enforcement of a previously-ignored rule which capped campaign expenditure at $ 1,500 saw the election of three MHAs (Julian Amos, John Devine and John Green) declared invalid.
Kelly Lamrock	In the 2010 provincial election, Lamrock lost his seat to Conservative challenger Pam Lynch.
Pat Morton	Morton again led the opposition to the ballot at the 21 March 1959 election, which resulted in an overall gain of three seats but the loss of Sutherland and Parramatta to Labor.
Charles Harnick	The Progressive Conservatives won a majority government in the 1995 provincial election, and Harnick was re-elected in Willowdale by a landslide.
Alan Pope	He nonetheless ran for re-election in the 1987 provincial election, and retained his seat.
Bruce Crozier	His margin of victory was reduced in the 2003 provincial election, which the Liberals won in a landslide.
Wayne David	Despite a Labour majority of nearly 25,000 at the 1997 general election, David lost the seat to the Plaid Cymru candidate by a margin of over 2,000 votes.
George McCrae (politician)	However in 1924 he was unable to hold to his gain and Murnin won back the seat with a majority of 1,924 votes.
Hywel Williams	He contested the Clwyd South seat for the Welsh Assembly and polled 25 % of the vote, almost 5 times as many votes as secured by Plaid Cymru in the 1997 general election.
John W. Kern	After the election of 1912, which featured the election of Woodrow Wilson, the return of a Democratic majority to the House, and the election of another eleven progressive Democrats to the Senate combined with Kern's national stature as a progressive, his skills at conciliation, and his personal popularity resulted in his unanimous election as majority leadership in the Senate.
Ernest Spero	A further general election was held in the following year and the situation was reversed : Jones regained the seat, which he was to hold until 1945.
Mike Farnan	The NDP won a majority government in the 1990 provincial election, and Farnan was re-elected by a landslide in Cambridge.
Nick Clegg	The party scored their first by-election win of Clegg's leadership at Eastleigh in 2013, with Mike Thornton holding the seat for the Liberal Democrats, despite a 19 % swing away from the party.
Jim McGuigan	The Liberal Party made an electoral breakthrough in the 1985 provincial election, and McGuigan was re-elected by a significant margin.
David Emerson	However, Emerson's Conservative opponent, Kanman Wong, claimed on February 10, 2006 that Emerson was seriously considering crossing the floor during the run-up to the election.
Jane Hill (politician)	Hill faced a much tougher battle for re-election at the 1992 state election, as Labor lost office in a landslide defeat.
Colin Carrie	Carrie once again retained his seat in the 2008 federal election.
Sharon Murdock	She ran again in the 1990 provincial election, and defeated Campbell by 3,397 votes amid an historic majority government victory for the NDP.
Stephen Harper	Harper's Conservative Party won a stronger minority in the October 2008 federal election, showing a small increase in the percentage of the popular vote and increased representation in the Canadian House of Commons, with 143 of 308 seats.
Rick Borotsik	; Second term (2000 -- 04) Borotsik was narrowly re-elected in the 2000 federal election over a candidate of the Canadian Alliance, as the Liberals won a third consecutive majority government nationally.
John Gerretsen	Gerretsen was easily re-elected in the 1999 provincial election, although the Progressive Conservatives were again victorious across the province.
James Hargest	Hargest retained his seat for the National Party in the 1938 election, but although National's performance had improved by winning an additional six electorates, Labour was still in government.
Robert C. Mitchell	He was re-elected in the 1985 election, defeating Daigeler by a reduced margin.
Vivian Henderson	However, at the 1929 general election, when the Labour Party took power for the second time, Henderson's seat in Bootle was one of Labour's gains.
Robert Gascoyne-Cecil, 3rd Marquess of Salisbury	He remained Prime Minister until Gladstone's Liberals formed a government with the support of the Irish Nationalist Party, despite the Unionists gaining the largest number of votes and seats in the 1892 general election.
Robert Murray (Scottish politician)	Murray retained his seat in the 1923 general election with a majority of 3,302 over the Conservative candidate with the Liberals in third.
Peter Andren	He held the seat without serious difficulty in the next three elections ; his two party-preferred vote of over 75 per cent in 2001 made Calare the second-safest seat in Australia.
Nancy Wake	Evatt slightly increased his margin at subsequent elections before relocating to the safer seat of Hunter by 1958.
Andrew Telegdi	The final validated count, showing errors in two polls, confirmed his opponent had won the seat by 17 votes, the smallest margin of victory in the 2008 federal election.
Joe Harris (politician)	Harris symbolised the buck in the trend in the Cotswolds, while many of his party colleagues lost their seats across England, the Liberal Democrats in the Cotswolds gained 7 seats taking their total number up to 12, making it the biggest Lib Dem gain in the 2011 local elections.
Paul Keating	Hawke led Labor to a third consecutive victory in the 1987 election, but by his fifth anniversary as Prime Minister a year later, he had begun to suffer from poor opinion polling.
Malcolm Fraser	At the 1980 election, Fraser saw his majority more than halved, from 48 seats to 21.
Don McLeod (politician)	In 1954, he was nearly defeated by Liberal challenger and future Prime Minister Malcolm Fraser, holding onto his seat by only 17 votes.
Anil Moonesinghe	However, in 1967 he lost it on an election petition, although the LSSP retained the Agalawatte seat at the subsequent by-election.
Helle Thorning-Schmidt	She led the Social Democrats in the 2007 election, in which her party suffered modest losses and was forced into a third term in opposition.
John Scaddan	In the April 1933 general elections, Scaddan lost his seat and the Mitchell government was defeated.
Paul Williams (politician)	He was re-elected with a reduced majority in 1959.
John Howard	Howard led the government to victory in the 2001 federal election with an increased majority.
Se?n Flanagan	He would retain his seat at each subsequent election until he lost his seat at the 1977 general election.
Wallace C. Miller	Miller was easily re-elected as a Liberal-Progressive in the 1953 election, defeating his Social Credit and Progressive Conservative opponents by a significant margin.
Tommy Douglas	Douglas and the Saskatchewan CCF then went on to win five straight majority victories in all subsequent Saskatchewan provincial elections up to 1960.
Mike Harris	The Tories were reduced to a minority government in the 1985 provincial election, although Harris was personally re-elected without difficulty.
Dick Spring	Spring lost his seat in a shock result at the 2002 general election.
John Freeman Dunn	At the 1924 general election, the Tory Party had recovered its position and with Labour also standing a candidate, Davidson regained his seat with a majority of nearly 5,000.
George Hopwood Hume	In 1931 Hume regained the seat, with Palmer's vote reduced by the presence of a Communist candidate, and was re-elected four years later.
Michael A. Brown	He was re-elected by a larger margin in the provincial election of 1995, which was won by the Progressive Conservatives.
Tony Martin (politician)	Martin was re-elected in the 2006 campaign, as the NDP increased its representation from 19 seats to 29.
Merv Tweed	Despite the NDP's landmark election win of 2003, Tweed was again re-elected in Turtle Mountain without difficulty, receiving 3,956 votes against 1,893 for New Democrat Lonnie Patterson.
Margaret Marland	In the provincial election of 1987, she defeated Liberal candidate Claudette Mackay-Lassonde by only 599 votes to retain her seat.
Jane Aagaard	She was reelected in 2005, picking up a healthy swing of 8.
Bernard Richard	Richard managed to be re-election by the largest margin of any candidate in the 1999 election, despite the fact that his party suffering a massive defeat.
George Ho Lem	In the 1975 Alberta general election after serving only one term with the opposition George was badly defeated by Progressive Conservative Andrew Little.
Wallace C. Miller	He was again returned in the 1958 election, which saw the defeat of the Campbell government as Dufferin Roblin's Progressive Conservatives were able to form a minority administration.
William Howie, Baron Howie of Troon	He held his seat at the 1966 election with an increased majority of 2.
Andy Mitchell (politician)	Mitchell lost to high-profile Conservative candidate Tony Clement by only twenty-eight votes in the 2006 election, as the Conservatives won a minority government nationally.
Christopher Pyne	Pyne was re-elected at the 2010 federal election, receiving a primary vote swing of 0.
Bud Boyce	Boyce was re-elected in the 1977 election, defeating Tory candidate Philip S. Lee with a reduced majority.
Derek Conway	Conway held the Shrewsbury and Atcham seat until he was defeated at the 1997 General Election, when the Conservative Party nationally lost more than half of the seats it had held before the election.
Robert Bradford (Northern Irish politician)	Bradford greatly increased his majority in the October election, after Pounder dropped out, and largely maintained this increased majority in 1979.
Jim Pollock	The Progressive Conservatives made a modest recovery in the 1990 provincial election, although Pollock lost his seat to Buchanan amid a provincial majority government victory for the NDP.
Thomas Edmund Harvey	Harvey was however returned to Parliament for Dewsbury at the 1923 general election when he defeated Riley in a straight fight to win by a majority of 2,256 votes.
George A. Drew	Drew led the PCs into one more general election, in 1953, with slightly better results than the previous election.
Thomas Leonard Wells	Wells was re-elected again in the 1971 election, defeating Brewin for a second time by a greatly increased margin.
Phil Sawford	Sawford increased his majority in the 2001 election.
Richard Cashin	After several years as an MP, during Progressive Conservative and Liberal minority government s, Cashin suffered a major upset when he was one of the few incumbent Liberal MPs to lose his seat in the 1968 general election that returned a Liberal majority government led by Pierre Trudeau.
Norm Sterling	In the Liberal landslide of 1987, however, he was only able to defeat Liberal candidate Roly Armitage by about 500 votes in the redistributed riding of Carleton.
Leonard Halmrast	Halmrast saw his popular vote see a significant rise from the 1955 election, while Stringam was unable hold the Liberals 1955 vote and lost a small portion.
Happy Chandler	The vote in 1950 was nine votes for Chandler and seven against, leaving him three votes short of the necessary three-fourths majority.
Edward Dow	He recovered the seat in the 1966 election, however, defeating McDonald by only five votes out of about 5,000 cast.
Robert Curtis Clark	He led Social Credit to a larger popular vote but fail to gain any seats in the 1979 general election.
William Hilton (UK politician)	He held his seat at the 1970 general election, but found himself on the opposition benches when the Conservatives won a parliamentary majority.
Ken Black	The Liberals suffered an upset loss to the New Democratic Party in the 1990 provincial election, and Black finished third in his bid for re-election.
Stewart Hosie	Hosie held the seat with an increased majority at the 2010 general election.
Jim Pollock	The Progressive Conservatives lost power following the 1985 election, although Pollock actually increased his majority.
Al McLean	The Progressive Conservatives won a majority government in the 1995 election, and on this occasion McLean defeated his nearest opponent by more than 14,000 votes.
Louis Plamondon	Plamondon was re-elected to an eighth term in the 2008 election as the Conservatives won a second consecutive minority government.
Tony Rizzo	He narrowly won a vote to retain himself as the candidate for Oakwood in the 1995 provincial election.
Joy Smith	Fort Garry was a top NDP target in the 2003 election, and Smith lost the constituency to New Democrat Kerri Irvin-Ross by eighty-seven votes.
Gulzar Singh Cheema	Cheema increased his margin of victory in the 1990 provincial election, but the Liberal Party fell to seven seats and third-party status.
Hans Daigeler	The Progressive Conservatives won a majority government in the 1995 provincial election on June 8, 1995, and Daigeler lost the Nepean riding to PC candidate John Baird by just under 4,000 votes.
Dave Taylor (Canadian politician)	He was re-elected as a Liberal in the 2008 Alberta general election although the Liberals lost seven seats.
Rob Stokes	Less than two years later, Stokes regained the seat for the Liberals at the 2007 general election.
Sonia Gandhi	She was re-elected from her constituency Rae Bareilly in May 2006 by a margin of over 400,000 votes.